Brightstar Resources (BTR:AU) has announced Highly successful first milling campaign completed
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Here’s a quick recap of the crypto landscape for Wednesday (March 19) as of 9:00 p.m. UTC.
Bitcoin (BTC) is currently trading at US$85,406.50, a 3.9 percent increase over the past 24 hours. The day’s trading range has seen a low of US$83,774.65 and a high of US$85,888.99.
Bitcoin performance, March 19, 2025.
Chart via TradingView.
Ethereum (ETH) is priced at US$2,032.78, marking a 6.7 percent increase over the same period. The cryptocurrency reached an intraday low of US$2,007.43 and a high of US$2,055.77.
Speaking at Blockworks’ Digital Asset Summit in New York on Wednesday, Blockchain Association CEO Kristin Smith said US lawmakers are on track to establish rules for stablecoins and cryptocurrency market structure by August.
“I think we’re close to being able to get those done for August … they’re doing a lot of work on that behind the scenes right now,” Smith said at the event, which was attended by Cointelegraph.
Speaking at the summit on Tuesday (March 18), Bo Hines, executive director of the President’s Council of Advisers on Digital Assets, said legislation is “imminent” following the Senate Banking Committee’s approval of the GENIUS Act last week. “I think that stables could be on the president’s desk here in the next two months,” Hines said.
A recent report from Coinbase and EY-Parthenon reveals that institutional investors are increasing their engagement with cryptocurrencies in 2025. The survey, conducted in January with responses from 352 institutional investor firms, shows that 83 percent plan to increase their crypto allocations this year.
Furthermore, 59 percent intend to allocate over 5 percent of their assets under management to crypto, and 73 percent already hold assets beyond Bitcoin and Ethereum, with SOL and XRP being the most popular. Additionally, 68 percent of respondents indicated a likelihood to purchase single-asset exchange-traded products for SOL and XRP.
Coinbase highlights the survey’s results in a press release, stating that ‘all signs indicate positive momentum’ for institutional crypto engagement in 2025, with increasing allocations, expanding use cases and adoption of new products.
Bernstein’s Gautam Chhugani gave a bullish ‘outperform’ rating and a US$310 price target for cryptocurrency exchange platform Coinbase (NASDAQ:COIN), betting on the Trump’s administration’s plans for a US digital asset framework to boost the crypto industry. Chhugani also foresees growth in the US market offsetting competition, and highlighted the strong momentum in Coinbase’s subscription and services business.
Securities Disclosure: I, Giann Liguid, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.
Securities Disclosure: I, Meagen Seatter, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.
The US Federal Reserve held its second meeting of the year from Tuesday (March 18) to Wednesday (March 19) amid broad economic chaos caused by the Trump administration’s tariff threats.
As was widely expected, the central bank left interest rates at 4.25 to 4.5 percent, a range it set at its November meeting; it also said it will slow the pace at which it is shrinking its balance sheet.
In his post-meeting remarks, Chair Jerome Powell said the Fed remains focused on its dual mandate of maximum employment and price stability. He noted that labor market conditions are “solid” and said inflation has moved closer to the Fed’s 2 percent target, although he did acknowledge that it remains “somewhat elevated.”
The US consumer price index (CPI) was up 3 percent year-on-year in January, up slightly from 2.9 percent in December. CPI fell marginally in February to come in at 2.8 percent. The US personal consumption expenditures price index has also remained relatively flat, with a 2.5 percent year-on-year rise in January versus December’s 2.6 percent.
The sticky inflation numbers come against a backdrop of global uncertainty as US President Donald Trump implements and threatens tariff action. Tariffs could drive consumer prices higher on critical goods for US consumers, including new gasoline, homes and cars, as the US relies on oil, lumber and steel imports from Canada.
Powell noted that uncertainty is running high with Trump now in office, saying that his administration is making policy changes in four key areas: trade, immigration, fiscal policy and regulation.
“It is the net effect of these policy changes that will matter for the economy and the path of monetary policy. While there have been recent developments in some of these areas, especially trade, uncertainty around changes and their economic outlook is high,” Powell said, adding that the Fed is focusing on ‘separating the signal from the noise.’
The Fed will adjust its policy based on incoming data, and is well positioned to wait for greater clarity.
When asked by a reporter why the Fed is still predicting two rate cuts this year despite waning consumer sentiment, Powell emphasized that the data shows the economy has remained strong.
“I would tell people that the economy seems to be healthy; we understand that sentiment seems to be quite negative at this time, and that probably has to do with turmoil at the beginning of an administration,” he said.
Following the Fed’s announcement, the gold price spiked to a new record high in the US$3,045 per ounce range. The silver price declined for most of the morning, but moved up after the Fed decision, staying above US$33.50 per ounce.
The S&P 500 (INDEXSP:INX) climbed 1.04 percent to 5,675, while the Nasdaq-100 (INDEXNASDAQ:NDX) rose 1.25 percent to 19,707 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average (INDEXDJX:.DJI) moved up 0.83 percent to 41,920.
Securities Disclosure: I, Dean Belder, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.
Calibre Mining’s (TSX:CXB,OTCQX:CXBMF)largest shareholder has come out against Equinox Gold’s (TSX:EQX,NYSEAMERICAN:EQX) US$1.8 billion takeover bid, casting doubt over the year’s biggest gold deal.
According to Bloomberg, Van Eck Associates, which holds an 8.69 percent stake in Calibre, has voiced its opposition, citing a lack of operational synergies and concerns over the dilution of Calibre’s quality.
Van Eck was also the second largest investor in Equinox as of December 31, 2024.
The proposed all-stock transaction, announced in February, aims to create a mid-tier gold producer with annual output of approximately 1.2 million ounces. However, the deal still requires shareholder and regulatory approval. Both companies have scheduled shareholder votes, with two-thirds majorities required for approval.
“We are not supportive of this transaction. We don’t see any synergies between any of the companies’ operations,” Imaru Casanova, portfolio manager at Van Eck’s International Investors Gold Fund, said in an email to Bloomberg on Tuesday (March 18). “Both operate in the Americas, but in vastly different locations.”
Casanova also emphasized that Calibre was poised for a revaluation as it advanced its flagship Valentine project in Newfoundland, Canada. Valentine is set to become Atlantic Canada’s largest gold mine.
Equinox operates mines across Canada, Mexico, Brazil and the US, while Calibre’s assets are concentrated in Nicaragua and the US. The deal would make the combined company one of the top 15 global gold producers.
Equinox declined to comment on Van Eck’s opposition, while Calibre did not immediately respond to inquiries.
The Equinox-Calibre deal is part of a broader trend of consolidation in the gold sector, driven by gold’s surging price and strong company balance sheets. However, investors remain cautious, given the industry’s history of high-priced mergers that fail to generate expected returns. Many mining mergers since 2010 have struggled to deliver, with industry reports highlighting skepticism due to overvalued acquisitions and underperforming transactions.
As mentioned, the purchase still requires approval from shareholders and regulatory bodies.
With Van Eck’s significant opposition, other institutional investors may reconsider their stance before the vote.
Securities Disclosure: I, Giann Liguid, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.
Falco Resources Ltd. (TSX.V: FPC) (‘ Falco’ or the ‘ Company’ ) is pleased to publish the results of an independent survey of the population of Rouyn-Noranda and Abitibi-Témiscamingue conducted by Léger regarding the understanding and social acceptability of the Falco Horne 5 underground mine project (the ‘ Project’ ).
Three out of four people support the Project
The results show that Falco enjoys strong majority support in Rouyn-Noranda, where 72% of respondents are in favour of the Horne 5 Project, and in Abitibi-Témiscamingue, where support reaches 74%. These results demonstrate the population’s significant support for the Project, particularly given its economic spin-offs and positive impact on employment.
Trust in Falco
Respondents recognize the benefits the Project will bring to the region, emphasizing its key role in local and regional economic growth and job creation. Despite some concerns about environmental impacts, a strong majority of respondents (73%) are confident that Falco will work with civil society actors to ensure responsible implementation of the Project.
A Project for the common good
In addition, a high proportion of respondents (74%) felt that the Project should proceed for the community’s benefit, strengthening the legitimacy and social acceptability of the Falco Horne 5 Project in the region.
Hélène Cartier, Vice-President of Environment, Sustainable Development and Community Relations, stated: ‘As demonstrated by the numerous briefs submitted to BAPE, these results confirm the population’s strong support for our Project and our commitment to act responsibly. We will continue our concerted efforts with all stakeholders to ensure a mutually beneficial development. We believe this strong support justifies our request to the Québec government to deem the project acceptable.’
Luc Lessard, President and CEO, added: ‘These results are a testament to the broad support for the Project among Rouyn-Noranda residents, consistent with what we have been seeing for several years now. Falco has submitted to the authorities at the Québec government a mining development project that will be of great benefit to the city, the Abitibi-Témiscamingue region and all of Québec. It remains surprising, however, that after more than 8 years, the government has yet to recognize the Project’s conformity.’
The Company will continue its discussions with the Ministère de l’Environnement, de la Lutte contre les changements climatiques, de la Faune et des Parcs (the ‘ Ministère ‘) to have the Project’s compliance recognized and complete the environmental analysis.
Highlights
Favourability of the Project
Main reasons for being in favor
Main perceptions
The survey was conducted from February 27 to March 9, 2025, among 500 Abitibi-Témiscamingue residents aged 18 and over. The presumed margin of error is ±4.38%, 19 times out of 20. The survey can be viewed by clicking on the following link: https://bit.ly/3RfaMlZ
The Falco Horne 5 Project features a state-of-the-art mining operation that maximizes the use and rehabilitation of previously disturbed sites such as Quemont and Norbec. The Project will generate significant economic benefits, contributing approximately $3.8 billion to Québec’s GDP, including $2.2 billion to the regional GDP, notably through the creation of 900 jobs during construction and 500 jobs during operations. By adding value to critical and strategic minerals, it will actively contribute to the energy transition and decarbonization of the economy.
ABOUT FALCO
Falco Resources is one of the largest mineral claim holders in the province of Quebec, with an extensive portfolio of properties in the Abitibi Greenstone Belt. Falco holds rights to approximately 67,000 hectares of land in the Noranda Mining Camp, which represents 67% of the camp and includes 13 former gold and base metal mining sites. Falco’s main asset is the Horne 5 Project located beneath the former Horne mine, which was operated by Noranda from 1927 to 1976 and produced 11.6 million ounces of gold and 2.5 billion pounds of copper. Osisko Development Corp. is Falco’s largest shareholder, with a 16% interest in the Company.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION, PLEASE CONTACT:
Hélène Cartier
Vice President, Environment, Sustainable Development and Community Relations
514 216-8611
hcartier@falcores.com
FOR MORE INFORMATION ON THE METHODOLOGY:
Éric Normandeau
Strategic consultant, Léger
514 245-0195
enormandeau@leger360.com
Neither TSX Venture Exchange nor its Regulation Services Provider (as that term is defined in the policies of the TSX Venture Exchange) accepts responsibility for the adequacy or accuracy of this release.
CAUTIONARY STATEMENT REGARDING FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS
This press release contains forward-looking statements and information (collectively ‘ forward-looking statements ‘) within the meaning of applicable securities laws. These statements include references to the social acceptability and development of the Project, its economic spin-offs and positive impacts on employment, the benefits the Project will bring to the region, its key role in local and regional economic growth and job creation, and public support for the Project.
These statements are based on information currently available to the Company, and the Company provides no assurance that actual results will meet management’s expectations. The occurrence of such events or the making of such statements are subject to several risk factors, including, without limitation, the risk factors identified in Falco’s annual management report and other continuous disclosure documents available at www.sedarplus.com .
Although Falco believes that the assumptions and factors applied in preparing the forward-looking statements are reasonable, undue reliance should not be placed on these statements, which only apply as of the date of this press release, and there can be no assurance that such events will occur within the time frames disclosed or at all. As mentioned by Falco in its public disclosure and previous press releases, certain major issues have been raised by the Ministère in connection with the development of the Project and in the BAPE process, including the Project’s compliance with section 197 of the Règlement sur l’assainissement de l’atmosphère (RAA). There can be no assurance or guarantee that the Ministère will change its position with respect to the application of section 197 of the RAA to the Project, that Falco will be able to respond to the Ministère’s numerous additional requests in a timely manner or that Falco will be able to raise the funds necessary to pursue the additional studies requested by the Ministère, which could materially delay or prevent the granting of the required authorizations and thus adversely affect the development of the Project and Falco’s financial condition. Except as required by applicable law, Falco disclaims any intention or obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise.
News Provided by GlobeNewswire via QuoteMedia
Alvopetro Energy Ltd. (TSXV: ALV) (OTCQX: ALVOF) announces an operational update, our financial results for the year ended December 31, 2024 a quarterly dividend of US$0.10 per common share and filing of our annual information form. We will be hosting a live webcast to discuss our Q4 2024 results on Wednesday March 19, 2025 at 8:00 a.m. Mountain time .
All references herein to $ refer to United States dollars, unless otherwise stated and all tabular amounts are in thousands of United States dollars, except as otherwise noted.
President & CEO, Corey C. Ruttan commented:
‘Through 2024 we increased our productive capacity both at the Caburé Unit and on our 100% interest Murucututu project. This allowed us to increase our firm natural gas sales volumes for 2025 resulting in a strong start to the year with a 37% increase in our sales volumes. We are increasing our base dividend to US$0.10 per share, consistent with our long-standing commitment to a more disciplined capital allocation model, balancing returns to stakeholders and organic growth.’
Operational Update
As announced on December 17, 2024 , our updated long-term gas sales agreement came into effect on January 1, 2025 increasing Alvopetro’s contracted firm reference volumes by 33%. As a result, Alvopetro’s daily sales in January and February increased 37% from Q4 2024 sales to an average of 2,375 boepd, including 13.4 MMcfpd of natural gas, natural gas liquids sales from condensate of 129 bopd and oil sales of 10 bopd. Effective February 1, 2025 , our natural gas price under our long-term gas sales agreement with Bahiagás has been adjusted to BRL1.95 /m 3 , a 7% increase from the January 2025 price of BRL1.83 /m 3 and consistent with the Q4 2024 price of BRL1.94 /m 3 . All natural gas sales from February 1, 2025 to April 30, 2025 will be sold at BRL1.95 /m 3 ( $10.55 /Mcf, net of applicable sales taxes, based on average heat content to date and the January 31, 2025 BRL/USD exchange rate of 5.83).
On February 5, 2025 , we announced the terms of a farmin agreement in Canada , pursuant to which Alvopetro agreed to fund 100% of two earning wells in exchange for a 50% non-operated working interest in 12,243 acres (6,122 net acres) of land in Western Saskatchewan . The first two earning wells have now been drilled and are being completed and equipped. Both wells are expected to be on production within the next 30 days. Alvopetro’s estimated total costs for the two earning wells is expected to be approximately C$4.0 million ( $2.8 million ). After these initial two earning wells Alvopetro’s working interest will be 50%.
On the Company’s Murucututu natural gas field, we spud the first of two development wells planned for 2025 in February. Drilling is underway. On the unitized area (the ‘Unit’) which includes the Caburé natural gas field, Alvopetro has five development wells planned for 2025, with the first well expected to be drilled in April.
On February 26, 2025 , we announced our December 31, 2024 reserves based on the independent reserve assessment and evaluation prepared by GLJ Ltd. (‘GLJ’) dated February 26, 2025 with an effective date of December 31, 2024 (the ‘GLJ Reserves and Resources Report’). Highlights include:
Financial and Operating Highlights – Fourth Quarter of 2024
Financial and Operating Highlights – Year Ended December 31, 2024
(1) Refer to the sections entitled ‘ Oil and Natural Gas Advisories – Other Metrics ‘ and ‘ Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures ‘. |
The following table provides a summary of Alvopetro’s financial and operating results for the periods noted. The consolidated financial statements with the Management’s Discussion and Analysis (‘MD&A’) are available on our website at www.alvopetro.com and will be available on the SEDAR+ website at www.sedarplus.ca .
As at and Three Months Ended December 31 |
As at and Year Ended December 31, |
||||||
2024 |
2023 |
Change (%) |
2024 |
2023 |
Change (%) |
||
Financial |
|||||||
($000s, except where noted) |
|||||||
Natural gas, oil and condensate sales |
10,214 |
15,300 |
(33) |
45,517 |
59,687 |
(24) |
|
Net income |
2,243 |
652 |
244 |
16,295 |
28,525 |
(43) |
|
Per share – basic ($) (1) |
0.06 |
0.02 |
200 |
0.44 |
0.77 |
(43) |
|
Per share – diluted ($) (1) |
0.06 |
0.02 |
200 |
0.43 |
0.76 |
(43) |
|
Cash flows from operating activities |
7,114 |
7,904 |
(10) |
34,901 |
47,702 |
(27) |
|
Per share – basic ($) (1) |
0.19 |
0.21 |
(10) |
0.94 |
1.29 |
(27) |
|
Per share – diluted ($) (1) |
0.19 |
0.21 |
(10) |
0.93 |
1.26 |
(26) |
|
Funds flow from operations (2) |
6,966 |
12,393 |
(44) |
33,275 |
48,030 |
(31) |
|
Per share – basic ($) (1) |
0.19 |
0.33 |
(42) |
0.89 |
1.29 |
(31) |
|
Per share – diluted ($) (1) |
0.19 |
0.33 |
(42) |
0.89 |
1.27 |
(30) |
|
Dividends declared |
3,283 |
5,127 |
(36) |
13,170 |
20,462 |
(36) |
|
Per share (1) (2) |
0.09 |
0.14 |
(36) |
0.36 |
0.56 |
(36) |
|
Capital expenditures |
4,682 |
4,934 |
(5) |
15,305 |
27,449 |
(44) |
|
Cash and cash equivalents |
21,697 |
18,326 |
18 |
21,697 |
18,326 |
18 |
|
Net working capital (2) |
13,181 |
13,117 |
– |
13,181 |
13,117 |
– |
|
Weighted average shares outstanding |
|||||||
Basic (000s) (1) |
37,315 |
37,262 |
– |
37,289 |
37,121 |
– |
|
Diluted (000s) (1) |
37,566 |
37,963 |
(1) |
37,558 |
37,770 |
(1) |
|
Operations |
|||||||
Average daily sales volumes: |
|||||||
Natural gas (Mcfpd), by field: |
|||||||
Caburé (Mcfpd) |
7,476 |
11,699 |
(36) |
9,228 |
11,742 |
(21) |
|
Murucututu (Mcfpd) |
2,231 |
546 |
309 |
928 |
487 |
91 |
|
Total natural gas (Mcfpd) |
9,707 |
12,245 |
(21) |
10,156 |
12,229 |
(17) |
|
NGLs – condensate (bopd) |
109 |
92 |
18 |
90 |
99 |
(9) |
|
Oil (bopd) |
11 |
10 |
10 |
12 |
6 |
100 |
|
Total (boepd) |
1,738 |
2,143 |
(19) |
1,794 |
2,142 |
(16) |
|
Average realized prices (2) : |
|||||||
Natural gas ($/Mcf) |
10.51 |
12.85 |
(18) |
11.42 |
12.64 |
(10) |
|
NGLs – condensate ($/bbl) |
75.95 |
89.45 |
(15) |
84.84 |
86.29 |
(2) |
|
Oil ($/bbl) |
61.74 |
73.67 |
(16) |
66.94 |
71.22 |
(6) |
|
Total ($/boe) |
63.88 |
77.60 |
(18) |
69.31 |
76.33 |
(9) |
|
Operating netback ($/boe) (2) |
|||||||
Realized sales price |
63.88 |
77.60 |
(18) |
69.31 |
76.33 |
(9) |
|
Royalties |
(2.15) |
(2.07) |
4 |
(1.99) |
(2.13) |
(7) |
|
Production expenses |
(6.64) |
(5.84) |
14 |
(6.33) |
(5.38) |
18 |
|
Operating netback |
55.09 |
69.69 |
(21) |
60.99 |
68.82 |
(11) |
|
Operating netback margin (2) |
86 % |
90 % |
(4) |
88 % |
90 % |
(2) |
|
Notes: |
|
(1) |
Per share amounts are based on weighted average shares outstanding other than dividends per share, which is based on the number of common shares outstanding at each dividend record date. The weighted average number of diluted common shares outstanding in the computation of funds flow from operations and cash flows from operating activities per share is the same as for net income per share. |
(2) |
See ‘Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures’ section within this news release. |
Quarterly Dividend of US$0.10 per Share
With our updated gas sales agreement in effect as of January 1, 2025 and higher production levels forecasted in the first quarter of 2025 our Board of Directors determined it was appropriate to increase the declared quarterly dividend to US$0.10 per common share, payable in cash on April 15, 2025, to shareholders of record at the close of business on March 31, 2025. This dividend is designated as an ‘eligible dividend’ for Canadian income tax purposes.
Dividend payments to non-residents of Canada will be subject to withholding taxes at the Canadian statutory rate of 25%. Shareholders may be entitled to a reduced withholding tax rate under a tax treaty between their country of residence and Canada. For further information, see Alvopetro’s website at https://alvopetro.com/Dividends-Non-resident-Shareholders .
Annual Information Form
Alvopetro has filed its annual information form (‘AIF’) with the Canadian securities regulators on SEDAR+. The AIF
includes the disclosure and reports relating to oil and gas reserves data and other oil and gas information required
pursuant to National Instrument 51-101 of the Canadian Securities Administrators. The AIF may be accessed
electronically at www.sedarplus.ca and on our website at www.alvopetro.com .
2024 Results Webcast
Alvopetro will host a live webcast to discuss our 2024 financial results at 8:00 am Mountain time on Wednesday March 19, 2025. Details for joining the event are as follows:
DATE: March 19, 2025
TIME : 8:00 AM Mountain/ 10:00 AM Eastern
LINK: https://us06web.zoom.us/j/84540021301
DIAL-IN NUMBERS: https://us06web.zoom.us/u/kBRCh4fgE
WEBINAR ID : 845 4002 1301
The webcast will include a question-and-answer period. Online participants will be able to ask questions through the Zoom portal. Dial-in participants can email questions directly to socialmedia@alvopetro.com .
Corporate Presentation
Alvopetro’s updated corporate presentation is available on our website at:
http://www.alvopetro.com/corporate-presentation .
Social Media
Follow Alvopetro on our social media channels at the following links:
Twitter – https://twitter.com/AlvopetroEnergy
Instagram – https://www.instagram.com/alvopetro/
LinkedIn – https://www.linkedin.com/company/alvopetro-energy-ltd
Alvopetro Energy Ltd. is deploying a balanced capital allocation model where we seek to reinvest roughly half our cash flows into organic growth opportunities and return the other half to stakeholders. Alvopetro’s organic growth strategy is to focus on the best combinations of geologic prospectivity and fiscal regime. Alvopetro is balancing capital investment opportunities in Canada and Brazil where we are building off the strength of our Caburé and Murucututu natural gas fields and the related strategic midstream infrastructure.
Neither the TSX Venture Exchange nor its Regulation Services Provider (as that term is defined in the policies of the TSX Venture Exchange) accepts responsibility for the adequacy or accuracy of this news release.
Abbreviations:
$000s |
= |
thousands of U.S. dollars |
1P |
= |
proved reserves |
2P |
= |
proved plus probable reserves |
boepd |
= |
barrels of oil equivalent (‘boe’) per day |
bopd |
= |
barrels of oil and/or natural gas liquids (condensate) per day |
BRL |
= |
Brazilian Real |
Mcf |
= |
thousand cubic feet |
Mcfpd |
= |
thousand cubic feet per day |
MMcf |
= |
million cubic feet |
MMcfpd |
= |
million cubic feet per day |
NGLs |
= |
natural gas liquids (condensate) |
NPV10 |
= |
net present value before tax, discounted at 10% |
Q3 2024 |
= |
three months ended September 30, 2024 |
Q4 2023 |
= |
three months ended December 31, 2023 |
Q4 2024 |
= |
three months ended December 31, 2024 |
USD |
= |
United States dollars |
GAAP or IFRS |
= |
IFRS Accounting Standards |
Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures
This news release contains references to various non-GAAP financial measures, non-GAAP ratios, capital management measures and supplementary financial measures as such terms are defined in National Instrument 52-112 Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures Disclosure . Such measures are not recognized measures under GAAP and do not have a standardized meaning prescribed by IFRS and might not be comparable to similar financial measures disclosed by other issuers. While these measures may be common in the oil and gas industry, the Company’s use of these terms may not be comparable to similarly defined measures presented by other companies. The non-GAAP and other financial measures referred to in this report should not be considered an alternative to, or more meaningful than measures prescribed by IFRS and they are not meant to enhance the Company’s reported financial performance or position. These are complementary measures that are used by management in assessing the Company’s financial performance, efficiency and liquidity and they may be used by investors or other users of this document for the same purpose. Below is a description of the non-GAAP financial measures, non-GAAP ratios, capital management measures and supplementary financial measures used in this news release. For more information with respect to financial measures which have not been defined by GAAP, including reconciliations to the closest comparable GAAP measure, see the ‘ Non-GAAP Measures and Other Financial Measures ‘ section of the Company’s MD&A which may be accessed through the SEDAR+ website at www.sedarplus.ca .
Non-GAAP Financial Measures
Operating netback
Operating netback is calculated as natural gas, oil and condensate revenues less royalties and production expenses. This calculation is provided in the ‘ Operating Netback ‘ section of the Company’s MD&A using our IFRS measures. The Company’s MD&A may be accessed through the SEDAR+ website at www.sedarplus.ca . Operating netback is a common metric used in the oil and gas industry used to demonstrate profitability from operations.
Non-GAAP Financial Ratios
Operating netback per boe
Operating netback is calculated on a per unit basis, which is per barrel of oil equivalent (‘boe’). It is a common non-GAAP measure used in the oil and gas industry and management believes this measurement assists in evaluating the operating performance of the Company. It is a measure of the economic quality of the Company’s producing assets and is useful for evaluating variable costs as it provides a reliable measure regardless of fluctuations in production. Alvopetro calculated operating netback per boe as operating netback divided by total sales volumes (boe). This calculation is provided in the ‘ Operating Netback ‘ section of the Company’s MD&A using our IFRS measures. The Company’s MD&A may be accessed through the SEDAR+ website at www.sedarplus.ca . Operating netback is a common metric used in the oil and gas industry used to demonstrate profitability from operations on a per boe basis.
Operating netback margin
Operating netback margin is calculated as operating netback per boe divided by the realized sales price per boe. Operating netback margin is a measure of the profitability per boe relative to natural gas, oil and condensate sales revenues per boe and is calculated as follows:
Three Months Ended December 31, |
Year Ended December 31, |
|||
2024 |
2023 |
2024 |
2023 |
|
Operating netback – $ per boe |
55.09 |
69.69 |
60.99 |
68.82 |
Average realized price – $ per boe |
63.88 |
77.60 |
69.31 |
76.33 |
Operating netback margin |
86 % |
90 % |
88 % |
90 % |
Funds Flow from Operations Per Share
Funds flow from operations per share is a non-GAAP ratio that includes all cash generated from operating activities and is calculated before changes in non-cash working capital, divided by the weighted average shares outstanding for the respective period. For the periods reported in this news release the cash flows from operating activities per share and funds flow from operations per share is as follows:
Three Months Ended December 31, |
Year Ended December 31, |
|||
$ per share |
2024 |
2023 |
2024 |
2023 |
Per basic share: |
||||
Cash flows from operating activities |
0.19 |
0.21 |
0.94 |
1.29 |
Funds flow from operations |
0.19 |
0.33 |
0.89 |
1.29 |
Per diluted share: |
||||
Cash flows from operating activities |
0.19 |
0.21 |
0.93 |
1.26 |
Funds flow from operations |
0.19 |
0.33 |
0.89 |
1.27 |
Capital Management Measures
Funds Flow from Operations
Funds flow from operations is a non-GAAP capital management measure that includes all cash generated from operating activities and is calculated before changes in non-cash working capital. The most comparable GAAP measure to funds flow from operations is cash flows from operating activities. Management considers funds flow from operations important as it helps evaluate financial performance and demonstrates the Company’s ability to generate sufficient cash to fund future growth opportunities. Funds flow from operations should not be considered an alternative to, or more meaningful than, cash flows from operating activities however management finds that the impact of working capital items on the cash flows reduces the comparability of the metric from period to period. A reconciliation of funds flow from operations to cash flows from operating activities is as follows:
Three Months Ended December 31, |
Year Ended December 31, |
|||
2024 |
2023 |
2024 |
2023 |
|
Cash flows from operating activities |
7,114 |
7,904 |
34,901 |
47,702 |
Changes in non-cash working capital |
(148) |
4,489 |
(1,626) |
328 |
Funds flow from operations |
6,966 |
12,393 |
33,275 |
48,030 |
Net Working Capital
Net working capital is computed as current assets less current liabilities. Net working capital is a measure of liquidity, is used to evaluate financial resources, and is calculated as follows:
As at December 31 |
|||
2024 |
2023 |
||
Total current assets |
26,984 |
25,995 |
|
Total current liabilities |
(13,803) |
(12,878) |
|
Net working capital |
13,181 |
13,117 |
Supplementary Financial Measures
‘ Average realized natural gas price – $/Mcf ‘ is comprised of natural gas sales as determined in accordance with IFRS, divided by the Company’s natural gas sales volumes.
‘ Average realized NGL – condensate price – $/bbl ‘ is comprised of condensate sales as determined in accordance with IFRS, divided by the Company’s NGL sales volumes from condensate.
‘ Average realized oil price – $/bbl ‘ is comprised of oil sales as determined in accordance with IFRS, divided by the Company’s oil sales volumes.
‘ Average realized price – $/boe ‘ is comprised of natural gas, condensate and oil sales as determined in accordance with IFRS, divided by the Company’s total natural gas, NGL and oil sales volumes (barrels of oil equivalent).
‘ Dividends per share ‘ is comprised of dividends declared, as determined in accordance with IFRS, divided by the number of shares outstanding at the dividend record date.
‘ Royalties per boe ‘ is comprised of royalties, as determined in accordance with IFRS, divided by the total natural gas, NGL and oil sales volumes (barrels of oil equivalent).
‘ Production expenses per boe ‘ is comprised of production expenses, as determined in accordance with IFRS, divided by the total natural gas, NGL and oil sales volumes (barrels of oil equivalent).
Oil and Natural Gas Advisories
Oil and Natural Gas Reserves
The disclosure in this news release summarizes certain information contained in the GLJ Reserves and Resources Report but represents only a portion of the disclosure required under National Instrument 51-101 (‘NI 51-101’). Full disclosure with respect to the Company’s reserves as at December 31, 2024 is included in the Company’s annual information form for the year ended December 31, 2024 which has been filed on SEDAR+ ( www.sedarplus.ca ). The GLJ Reserves and Resources Report has been prepared in accordance with the standards contained in the Canadian Oil and Gas Evaluation Handbook (the ‘COGE Handbook’ or ‘COGEH’) that are consistent with the standards of NI 51-101. GLJ is a qualified reserves evaluator as defined in NI 51-101.
All net present values in this press release are based on estimates of future operating and capital costs and GLJ’s forecast prices as of December 31, 2024 . The reserves definitions used in this evaluation are the standards defined by COGEH reserve definitions and are consistent with NI 51-101 and used by GLJ. The net present values of future net revenue attributable to Alvopetro’s reserves estimated by GLJ do not represent the fair market value of those reserves. Other assumptions and qualifications relating to costs, prices for future production and other matters are summarized herein. The recovery and reserve estimates of the Company’s reserves provided herein are estimates only and there is no guarantee that the estimated reserves will be recovered. Actual reserves may be greater than or less than the estimates provided herein. Possible reserves are those additional reserves that are less certain to be recovered than probable reserves. There is a 10% probability that the quantities actually recovered will equal or exceed the sum of proved plus probable plus possible reserves.
Cabur é Working Interest
Alvopetro’s working interest in the Caburé natural gas field is 56.2% as of December 31, 2024 and the date hereof. This working interest is subject to redetermination, the first of which was completed in April 2024 . An independent expert (the ‘Expert’) was engaged in connection with the first redetermination to evaluate the redetermination and the impact to each party’s working interest. Following the Expert’s decision, Alvopetro’s working interest was increased from 49.1% to 56.2%. Alvopetro’s partner filed a notice of dispute with respect to the Expert’s decision, seeking to stay the redetermination procedure. Alvopetro subsequently filed a request for emergency arbitration before the International Chamber of Commerce (‘ICC’) seeking to make the Expert decision effective starting on June 1, 2024 . In May 2024 , Alvopetro received the decision of the emergency arbitrator (‘the Order’) wherein the arbitrator found in favour of Alvopetro, making the Expert decision effective June 1, 2024 until such time as the dispute is reviewed by and decided upon by an arbitral tribunal pursuant to the Rules of Arbitration of the ICC. The redetermination dispute has proceeded to a full arbitration under the Rules of the ICC, however the timing and outcome of the full arbitration is uncertain and the resulting impact on the reserves and the net present value of future net revenue attributable to such reserves as presented herein may be material. In addition, future redeterminations may also have a material impact on Alvopetro’s reserves and future cash flows.
Contingent Resources
This news release discloses estimates of Alvopetro’s contingent resources and the net present value associated with net revenues associated with the production of such contingent resources as included in the GLJ Reserves and Resources Report. There is no certainty that it will be commercially viable to produce any portion of such contingent resources and the estimated future net revenues do not necessarily represent the fair market value of such contingent resources. Estimates of contingent resources involve additional risks over estimates of reserves. Full disclosure with respect to the Company’s contingent resources as at December 31, 2024 is included in the Company’s annual information form for the year ended December 31, 2024 which has been filed on SEDAR+ ( www.sedarplus.ca ).
Prospective Resources
This news release discloses estimates of Alvopetro’s prospective resources included in the GLJ Reserves and Resources Report. There is no certainty that any portion of the prospective resources will be discovered and even if discovered, there is no certainty that it will be commercially viable to produce any portion. Estimates of prospective resources involve additional risks over estimates of reserves. The accuracy of any resources estimate is a function of the quality and quantity of available data and of engineering interpretation and judgment. While resources presented herein are considered reasonable, the estimates should be accepted with the understanding that reservoir performance subsequent to the date of the estimate may justify revision, either upward or downward. Full disclosure with respect to the Company’s prospective resources as at December 31, 2024 is included in the Company’s annual information form for the year ended December 31, 2024 which has been filed on SEDAR+ ( www.sedarplus.ca ).
Other Metrics
This new release contains references to ‘production replacement ratio’, a metric commonly used in the oil and natural gas industry, which has been calculated by management. This term does not have a standardized meaning and may not be comparable to similar measures presented by other companies, and therefore should not be used to make such comparisons.
‘Production replacement ratio’ is calculated by dividing the change in reserve volumes plus current year production by current year production. Alvopetro’s 1P production replacement ratio and 2P production replacement ratio in 2024 is calculated as:
1P |
2P |
|
Reserve volumes as at December 31, 2024 – Mboe |
4,512 |
9,148 |
Reserve volumes as at December 31, 2023 – Mboe |
2,727 |
8,711 |
Reserve additions – Mboe |
1,785 |
437 |
2024 production – Mboe |
657 |
657 |
Change in reserves before 2024 production – Mboe |
2,442 |
1,094 |
2024 production replacement ratio |
372 % |
167 % |
BOE Disclosure
The term barrels of oil equivalent (‘boe’) may be misleading, particularly if used in isolation. A boe conversion ratio of six thousand cubic feet per barrel (6 Mcf/bbl) of natural gas to barrels of oil equivalence is based on an energy equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead. All boe conversions in this news release are derived from converting gas to oil in the ratio mix of six thousand cubic feet of gas to one barrel of oil.
Contracted Natural Gas Volumes
The 2025 contracted daily firm volumes under Alvopetro’s long-term gas sales agreement of 400 e 3 m 3 /d (before any provisions for take or pay allowances) represents contracted volumes based on contract referenced natural gas heating value. Alvopetro’s reported natural gas sales volumes are prior to any adjustments for heating value of Alvopetro natural gas. Alvopetro’s natural gas is approximately 7.8% higher than the contract reference heating value. Therefore, to satisfy the contractual firm deliveries Alvopetro would be required to deliver approximately 371e 3 m 3 /d (13.1MMcfpd).
Forward-Looking Statements and Cautionary Language
This news release contains forward-looking information within the meaning of applicable securities laws. The use of any of the words ‘will’, ‘expect’, ‘intend’, ‘plan’, ‘may’, ‘believe’, ‘estimate’, ‘forecast’, ‘anticipate’, ‘should’ and other similar words or expressions are intended to identify forward-looking information. Forward‐looking statements involve significant risks and uncertainties, should not be read as guarantees of future performance or results, and will not necessarily be accurate indications of whether or not such results will be achieved. A number of factors could cause actual results to vary significantly from the expectations discussed in the forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements reflect current assumptions and expectations regarding future events. Accordingly, when relying on forward-looking statements to make decisions, Alvopetro cautions readers not to place undue reliance on these statements, as forward-looking statements involve significant risks and uncertainties. More particularly and without limitation, this news release contains forward-looking statements concerning the expected natural gas price, gas sales and gas deliveries under Alvopetro’s long-term gas sales agreement, the timing and taxation of dividends and plans for dividends in the future, plans relating to the Company’s operational activities, proposed exploration and development activities and the timing for such activities, capital spending levels, future capital and operating costs, future production and sales volumes, the expected timing of production commencement in Canada , arbitration procedures associated with the redetermination of working interests of the Caburé natural gas field, anticipated timing for upcoming drilling and testing of other wells, and projected financial results. Forward-looking statements are necessarily based upon assumptions and judgments with respect to the future including, but not limited to the success of future drilling, completion, testing, recompletion and development activities and the timing of such activities, the performance of producing wells and reservoirs, well development and operating performance, expectations and assumptions concerning the timing of regulatory licenses and approvals, equipment availability, environmental regulation, including regulation relating to hydraulic fracturing and stimulation, the ability to monetize hydrocarbons discovered, the outlook for commodity markets and ability to access capital markets, foreign exchange rates, the outcome of any disputes, the outcome of redeterminations, general economic and business conditions, forecasted demand for oil and natural gas, the impact of global pandemics, weather and access to drilling locations, the availability and cost of labour and services, and the regulatory and legal environment and other risks associated with oil and gas operations. The reader is cautioned that assumptions used in the preparation of such information, although considered reasonable at the time of preparation, may prove to be incorrect. Actual results achieved during the forecast period will vary from the information provided herein as a result of numerous known and unknown risks and uncertainties and other factors. Current and forecasted natural gas nominations are subject to change on a daily basis and such changes may be material. In addition, the declaration, timing, amount and payment of future dividends remain at the discretion of the Board of Directors. Although we believe that the expectations and assumptions on which the forward-looking statements are based are reasonable, undue reliance should not be placed on the forward-looking statements because we can give no assurance that they will prove to be correct. Since forward looking statements address future events and conditions, by their very nature they involve inherent risks and uncertainties. Actual results could differ materially from those currently anticipated due to a number of factors and risks. These include, but are not limited to, risks associated with the oil and gas industry in general (e.g., operational risks in development, exploration and production; delays or changes in plans with respect to exploration or development projects or capital expenditures; the uncertainty of reserve estimates; the uncertainty of estimates and projections relating to production, costs and expenses, reliance on industry partners, availability of equipment and personnel, uncertainty surrounding timing for drilling and completion activities resulting from weather and other factors, changes in applicable regulatory regimes and health, safety and environmental risks), commodity price and foreign exchange rate fluctuations, market uncertainty associated with trade or tariff disputes, and general economic conditions. The reader is cautioned that assumptions used in the preparation of such information, although considered reasonable at the time of preparation, may prove to be incorrect. Although Alvopetro believes that the expectations and assumptions on which such forward-looking information is based are reasonable, undue reliance should not be placed on the forward-looking information because Alvopetro can give no assurance that it will prove to be correct. Readers are cautioned that the foregoing list of factors is not exhaustive. Additional information on factors that could affect the operations or financial results of Alvopetro are included in our AIF which may be accessed on Alvopetro’s SEDAR+ profile at www.sedarplus.ca . The forward-looking information contained in this news release is made as of the date hereof and Alvopetro undertakes no obligation to update publicly or revise any forward-looking information, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, unless so required by applicable securities laws.
SOURCE Alvopetro Energy Ltd.
View original content: http://www.newswire.ca/en/releases/archive/March2025/18/c2211.html
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The BRICS nations, originally composed of Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa, have had many discussions about establishing a new reserve currency backed by a basket of their respective currencies.
A BRICS currency was a topic at the 2024 BRICS Summit that took place October 22 to 24 in Kazan, Russia. At the summit, the BRICS nations continued their discussions of creating a potentially gold-backed currency, known as the ‘Unit,’ as an alternative to the US dollar.
The potential BRICS currency would allow these nations to assert their economic independence while competing with the existing international financial system. The current system is dominated by the US dollar, which accounts for about 90 percent of all currency trading. Until recently, nearly 100 percent of oil trading was conducted in US dollars; however, in 2023, one-fifth of oil trades were reportedly made using non-US dollar currencies.
Central to this ongoing situation is the US trade war with China, as well as US sanctions on China and Russia. Should the BRICS nations establish a new reserve currency, it would likely significantly impact the US dollar, potentially leading to a decline in demand, or what’s known as de-dollarization. In turn, this would have implications for the United States and global economies.
Another factor is former US president Donald Trump returning for a second term beginning on January 20. Trump’s America-first policies are expected to drive up the value of the dollar compared to its global counterparts, as was already on display the day following his election win on November 5 as China’s yuan, Russia’s ruble, Brazil’s real, India’s rupee and South Africa’s rand all fell. This could in turn push these BRICS member nations to look for new paths to move away from the US dollar.
At the 2024 BRICS summit, Russian President Vladimir Putin appeared on stage holding what appeared as a prototype of a possible BRICS banknote. However, he seemed to back away from previous aggressive calls for de-dollarization, stating the goal of the BRICS member nations is not to move away from the US dollar-dominated SWIFT platform, but rather to deter the ‘weaponization’ of the US dollar by developing alternative systems for using local currencies in financial transactions between BRICS countries and with trading partners.
‘We are not refusing, not fighting the dollar, but if they don’t let us work with it, what can we do? We then have to look for other alternatives, which is happening,’ he stated.
It’s still too hard to predict if and when a BRICS currency will be released in 2025 or beyond, but it’s a good time to look at the potential for a BRICS currency and its possible implications for investors.
The BRICS nations have a slew of reasons for wanting to set up a new currency, including recent global financial challenges and aggressive US foreign policies. They want to better serve their own economic interests while reducing global dependence on the US dollar and the euro.
In recent years, the US has placed numerous sanctions on Russia and Iran. The two countries are working together to bring about a BRICS currency that would negate the economic impacts of such restrictions, according to Iranian Ambassador to Russia Kazem Jalal, speaking at a press conference during the Russia–Islamic World: KazanForum in May 2024.
Some experts believe that a BRICS currency is a flawed idea, as it would unite countries with very different economies. There are also concerns that non-Chinese members might increase their dependence on China’s yuan instead. That said, when Russia demanded in October 2023 that India pay for oil in yuan as Russia is struggling to use its excess supply of rupees, India refused to use anything other than the US dollar or rupees to pay.
There’s no definitive launch date as of yet, but the countries’ leaders have discussed the possibility at length.
Looking back at the timeline of BRICS currency discussions, during the 14th BRICS Summit, held in mid-2022, Russian President Vladimir Putin said the BRICS countries plan to issue a ‘new global reserve currency,’ and are ready to work openly with all fair trade partners.
In April 2023, Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva showed support for a BRICS currency, commenting, “Why can’t an institution like the BRICS bank have a currency to finance trade relations between Brazil and China, between Brazil and all the other BRICS countries? Who decided that the dollar was the (trade) currency after the end of gold parity?”
In the lead up to the 2023 BRICS Summit last August, there was speculation that an announcement of such a currency could be on the table. This proved to be wishful thinking, however.
‘The development of anything alternative is more a medium to long term ambition. There is no suggestion right now to creates a BRICS currency,’ Leslie Maasdorp, CFO of the New Development Bank, told Bloomberg at the time. The bank represents the BRICS bloc.
Most recently, government officials in Brazil, which took the rotating presidency of the BRICS group for 2025, have said there are no plans to take any significant steps toward a BRICS currency. However, measures to reduce the reliance on the US dollar are very much on the table with cross-border payment systems, including exploring blockchain technology, set to be a major theme at the 2025 BRICS summit to be hosted in Rio de Janeiro in July, reported Reuters.
As of 2025, there are 10 BRICS member nations: Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa, Egypt, Ethiopia, Indonesia, Iran and the United Arab Emirates.
The group was originally composed of the four nations Brazil, Russia, India and China and named BRIC, which it changed to BRICS when South Africa joined in 2010.
At the 2023 BRICS Summit, six countries were invited to become BRICS members: Argentina, Egypt, Ethiopia, Iran, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates (UAE). All but Argentina and Saudi Arabia officially joined the alliance in January 2024, and in 2025, Indonesia became the 10th full member of BRICS.
Additionally, at the 2024 BRICS Summit, 13 nations signed on as BRICS partner countries, which are not yet full-fledged members: Algeria, Belarus, Bolivia, Cuba, Kazakhstan, Malaysia, Nigeria, Thailand, Turkey, Uganda, Vietnam and Uzbekistan.
The expanded group of 10 full member countries is sometimes referred to as BRICS+, although BRICS’s name hasn’t officially changed.
A new currency could have several benefits for the BRICS countries, including more efficient cross-border transactions and increased financial inclusion. By leveraging blockchain technology, digital currencies and smart contracts, the currency could revolutionize the global financial system. Thanks to seamless cross-border payments, it could also promote trade and economic integration among the BRICS nations and beyond.
A new BRICS currency would also:
New US President Donald Trump has not been shy about upping the ante on American protectionism with his plans to slap tariffs on imported goods beginning this year. During the first US Presidential Debate between him and Vice President Kamala Harris on September 10 last year, Trump doubled down on his pledge to punish BRICS nations with strict tariffs if they seek to move away from the US dollar as the global currency.
He is taking a particularly strong stance against China, threatening to implement 60 percent to 100 percent tariffs on Chinese imports, although these hefty tariffs would be paid by American companies and consumers purchasing Chinese products, not by China itself.
In early December, Trump posted an even more direct threat to BRICS nations on the social media platform Truth Social. “We require a commitment from these countries that they will neither create a new Brics currency nor back any other currency to replace the mighty US dollar or they will face 100% tariffs and should expect to say goodbye to selling into the wonderful US economy,” he wrote.
In response to Trump demanding a ‘commitment’ from BRICS nations not to challenge the supremacy of the US dollar, Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov sounded less than threatened.
‘More and more countries are switching to the use of national currencies in their trade and foreign economic activities,’ Peskov said, per Reuters. ‘If the U.S. uses force, as they say economic force, to compel countries to use the dollar it will further strengthen the trend of switching to national currencies (in international trade).’
If US President Donald Trump were to come through on his promise to enact 100 percent tariffs on BRICS nations the outcome could prove costly for all parties involved. “The action would result in slower growth and higher inflation than otherwise in the US and most of the targeted economies,” according to analysis by the Peterson Institute for International Economics.
Of all the BRICS member nations, China would likely experience slower GDP growth the worst as the United States is its largest trading partner. One silver lining for China is that its disciplined central bank will help to save it from accelerated inflation.
Trump’s 25 percent tariff on steel and aluminum imports set on March 12, 2025 will impact Brazil and China as well as the UAE. Brazil ranks in the top three sources for US steel imports; while China and the UAE represent significant sources of US aluminum imports.
RomanR / Shutterstock
For decades, the US dollar has enjoyed unparalleled dominance as the world’s leading reserve currency. According to the US Federal Reserve, between 1999 and 2019, the dollar was used in 96 percent of international trade invoicing in the Americas, 74 percent in the Asia-Pacific region and 79 percent in the rest of the world.
According to the Atlantic Council, the US dollar is used in approximately 88 percent of currency exchanges, and 59 percent of all foreign currency reserves held by central banks. Due to its status as the most widely used currency for conversion and its use as a benchmark in the forex market, almost all central banks worldwide hold dollars. Additionally, the dollar is used for the vast majority of oil trades.
Although the dollar’s reserve currency share has decreased as the euro and yen have gained popularity, the dollar is still the most widely used reserve currency, followed by the euro, the yen, the pound and the yuan.
The potential impact of a new BRICS currency on the US dollar remains uncertain, with experts debating its potential to challenge the dollar’s dominance. However, if a new BRICS currency was to stabilize against the dollar, it could weaken the power of US sanctions, leading to a further decline in the dollar’s value. It could also cause an economic crisis affecting American households. Aside from that, this new currency could accelerate the trend toward de-dollarization.
Nations worldwide are seeking alternatives to the US dollar, with examples being China and Russia trading in their own currencies, and countries like India, Kenya and Malaysia advocating for de-dollarization or signing agreements with other nations to trade in local currencies or alternative benchmarks.
While it is unclear whether a new BRICS currency would inspire the creation of other US dollar alternatives, the possibility of challenging the dollar’s dominance as a reserve currency remains. And as countries continue to diversify their reserve holdings, the US dollar could face increasing competition from emerging currencies, potentially altering the balance of power in global markets.
However, a study by the Atlantic Council’s GeoEconomics Center released in June 2024 shows that the US dollar is far from being dethroned as the world’s primary reserve currency.
‘The group’s ‘Dollar Dominance Monitor’ said the dollar continued to dominate foreign reserve holdings, trade invoicing, and currency transactions globally and its role as the primary global reserve currency was secure in the near and medium term,’ Reuters reported.
Warwick J. McKibbin and Marcus Noland of the Peterson Institute for International Economics agree with this sentiment, writing in their analysis of the impacts of US tariffs on BRICS nations that ‘the BRICS pose no serious threat to the dollar’s dominance.’
Ultimately, the impact of a new BRICS currency on the US dollar will depend on its adoption, its perceived stability and the extent to which it can offer a viable alternative to the dollar’s longstanding hegemony.
BRICS nations do not as of yet have their own specific digital currency, but a BRICS blockchain-based payment system is in the works, according to Kremlin aide Yury Ushakov in March 2024. Known as the BRICS Bridge multisided payment platform, it would connect member states’ financial systems using payment gateways for settlements in central bank digital currencies.
The planned system would serve as an alternative to the current international cross-border payment platform, the Society for Worldwide Interbank Financial Telecommunication (SWIFT) system, which is dominated by US dollars.
“We believe that creating an independent BRICS payment system is an important goal for the future, which would be based on state-of-the-art tools such as digital technologies and blockchain. The main thing is to make sure it is convenient for governments, common people and businesses, as well as cost-effective and free of politics,” Ushakov said in an interview with Russian news agency TASS.
Another dollar-alternative digital currency cross-border payment system in the works is Project mBridge, under development via a collaboration between the Hong Kong Monetary Authority, the Bank of Thailand, the Digital Currency Institute of the People’s Bank of China and the Central Bank of the UAE. Saudi Arabia has also recently decided to join the project. The central bank digital currencies traded on the platform would be backed by gold and local currencies minted in member nations.
In June 2024, Forbes reported that the mBridge platform had reached a significant milestone by completing its minimal viable product stage (MVP). The MVP platform can undertake real-value transactions (subject to jurisdictional preparedness) and is compatible with the Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM), a decentralized virtual environment that executes code consistently and securely across all Ethereum nodes,’ stated the publication. ‘MVP thus is suitable as a testbed for new use cases and interoperability with other platforms.’
‘(New Development Bank President Dilma Rousseff) came out and publicly said that there has been an agreement in principle to use a new settlement currency called the Unit, which will be backed 40 percent by gold and 60 percent by the local currencies in the BRICS union — the BRICS+ countries. That gold will be in the form of kilo bars and will be deliverable or redeemable for those entities,’ Schectman said.
‘The basket of gold and the basket of currencies will be minted in the member countries … it will be put into an escrow account, taken off the ledger so to speak — off of their balance sheet and put onto the mBridge ledger, and held in an escrow account in their own borders. It doesn’t need to be sent to a central authority.’
A potential shift toward a new BRICS currency could have significant implications for the North American economy and investors operating within it. Some of the most affected sectors and industries would include:
A new BRICS currency would also introduce new trading pairs, alter currency correlations and increase market volatility, requiring investors to adapt their strategies accordingly.
Adjusting a portfolio in response to emerging BRICS currency trends may be a challenge for investors. While it does not currently seem like a BRICS currency is on the immediate horizon, Trump’s aggressive trade tactics have pushed allies away from the US, making diversification important.
Several strategies can be adopted to capitalize on these trends and diversify your portfolio:
Prudent investors will also weigh these strategies against their exposure to market, political and currency fluctuations.
In terms of investment vehicles, investors could consider ETFs such as the iShares MSCI BIC ETF (ARCA:BKF) or the Pacer Emerging Markets Cash COW 100 ETF (NASDAQ:ECOW). They could also invest in mutual funds such as the T. Rowe Price Emerging Markets Equity Fund, or in individual companies within the BRICS countries.
Simply put, preparing for a new BRICS currency or potential de-dollarization requires careful research and due diligence by investors. Diversifying currency exposure, and investing in commodities, equity markets or alternative investments are possible options to consider while being mindful of the associated risks.
While it is not certain whether the creation of a BRICS reserve currency will come to pass, its emergence would pose significant implications for the global economy and potentially challenge the US dollar’s dominance as the primary reserve currency. This development would present unique investment opportunities, while introducing risks to existing investments as the shifting landscape alters monetary policy and exacerbates geopolitical tensions.
For those reasons, investors should closely monitor the progress of a possible BRICS currency. And, if the bloc does eventually create one, it will be important watch the currency’s impact on BRICS member economies and the broader global market. Staying vigilant will help investors to capitalize on growth prospects and hedge against potential risks.
Some financial analysts point to the creation of the euro in 1999 as proof that a BRICS currency may be possible. However, this would require years of preparation, the establishment of a new central bank and an agreement between the five nations to phase out their own sovereign currencies; it would most likely also need the support of the International Monetary Fund to be successful internationally.
The impact of its war on Ukraine will continue to weaken Russia’s economy and the value of the ruble, and China is intent on raising the power of the yuan internationally. There is also a wide chasm of economic disparity between China and other BRICS nations. These are no small obstacles to overcome.
Additionally, speaking at this year’s New Orleans Investment Conference, well-known author Jim Rickards gave a detailed talk on how a gold-backed BRICS currency could work. He suggested that if a BRICS currency unit is worth 1 ounce of gold and the gold price goes to US$3,000 per ounce, the BRICS currency unit would be worth US$3,000, while the dollar would lose value compared to the BRICS currency as measured by the weight of gold.
Importantly though, he doesn’t see this as a new gold standard, or the end of the US dollar or the euro.
“(With) a real gold standard, you can take the currency and go to any one of the central banks and get some gold,” Rickards said at the event. “With BRICS they don’t have to own any gold, they don’t have to buy any gold, they don’t have to prop up the price. They can just rise on the dollar gold market.’
As of Q3 2024, the combined central bank gold holdings of the original BRICS nations plus Egypt (the only nation of the five new additions to have central bank gold reserves) accounted for more than 20 percent of all the gold held in the world’s central banks. Russia, India and China rank in the top 10 for central bank gold holdings.
Russia controls 2,335.85 metric tons (MT) of the yellow metal, making it the fifth largest for central bank gold reserves. China follows in the sixth spot with 2,264.32 MT of gold and India places eighth with 853.63 MT. Brazil and South Africa’s central bank gold holdings are much smaller, coming in at 129.65 MT and 125.44 MT, respectively. New BRICS member Egypt’s gold holdings are equally small, at 126.82 MT.
Securities Disclosure: I, Melissa Pistilli, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.